Free NBA Picks & Predictions - Today's Best NBA Bets (2024)

Closing out to Kristaps Porzingis is much more difficult than to Al Horford, and Lively can better split the difference of guarding Al outside while still getting back to owning the defensive glass since Horford has a much slower release. Horford is also going to be straining under increased minutes and just a single day off between games. Lively's rebounding O/U of 8.5 isn't accounting enough for Porzingis’ likely absence, which will ultimately see Lively stay closer to the rim in Game 4.

Show more

Rory Breasail - Pick Made 7 hrs, 30 min ago.

Read full analysis

In Game 3, the Celtics looked like they had come to rely on five-out spacing provided by 48 minutes of either Al Horford or Kristaps Porzingis to generate their offense. Eventually, they snapped out of it and got better looks inside, which means Tatum should drive and kick more on Friday, rather than jack up contested threes without bending the defense. Boston's star forward also took just seven attempts from deep in both Games 1 and 2 combined, and with a normalized number of attempts in Game 4, it’s difficult for me to imagine him hitting four again.

Show more

Rory Breasail - Pick Made 7 hrs, 28 min ago.

Read full analysis

Reportsthat theDallas Maverickssuperstar is receiving a painkilling injection pre-game due to his thoracic injury track with the eye test. Doncic has come out strong early in every game of the series, only to wear down substantially as the game goes on, presumably as the painkiller wears off and his sprained knee bothers him more and more. He began Game 3 shooting 5-of-7 from the field, and went just 6-of-20 the rest of the way.The state of Doncic's body reminds me of his play in the Oklahoma City Thunder series when he averaged just 24.7 points, making the Under on his points prop one of my best plays for Thursday.

Show more

Rory Breasail - Pick Made 7 hrs, 27 min ago.

Read full analysis

After the trade deadline, Dallas’s pace ranked No. 7 in the NBA at 100.6 possessions per game, emphasizing an offense with a rating of 115.9, also No. 7 in the league. In that same stretch, Boston continued to play slowly, No. 24 in pace at 96.13, though its offense stood at No. 1 with an offensive rating of 125.4. Through the first three rounds of the playoffs, Dallas’s pace plummeted to 93.62, its offensive rating holding rather steady at 115.2. Boston’s pace got even slower, dropping to 92.45 in the first three rounds of hte postseason, its own offensive rating slipping, but not by all that much, to 119.6. Those fallen paces emphasize how scarce points became, and that has not been properly adjusted to in this series.

Show more

Douglas Farmer - Pick Made 4 hrs, 43 min ago.

More NBA analysis